McNabb Represents Andy
Reid’s Greatest Achievement, Biggest Mistake in Philly
As people in the Philadelphia region continue to reflect on
the tenure of former head coach Andy Reid and debate on who should replace him,
I hope they’re honest enough to admit that replacing him won’t be as simple as
winning five games next season. To improve upon what he accomplished during his
stint in Philly means one thing and one thing only: winning a Super Bowl. It
won’t be easily achieved, especially considering the lack of a franchise
quarterback he’s left in his wake, the result of what has to be viewed as
Reid’s most egregious of miscalculations over the last few years along the
Eagles’ sidelines — the trading of Donovan McNabb. It’s still confounding to me
that Reid thought he could so abruptly separate himself from the player he
built his program around and maintain the same rate of winning.
An Unpredictable Path
When Reid looked up at the big board when his time had come
to make the No. 2 selection of the 1999 NFL draft, his first as Eagle head
coach, the expectation among many was that he’d use it on running back Ricky
Williams, the 1998 Heisman Trophy winner out of the University of Texas who at
the time of the draft stood as the NCAA’s Division I-A career rushing leader, career
rushing touchdowns leader and career scoring leader. After a 5-11 season in
1998 that ushered in the Reid era, Williams had become a coveted prize among many
in a fan base that had endured three consecutive losing seasons. In times like
these, such as we’re seeing now after an embarrassing 42-7, season-ending loss
to division rival New York Giants (the result of which assures the Birds the
No. 4 selection in next spring’s draft), the consolation prize becomes that
high draft pick. And in what would foreshadow a throng of debatable personnel
decisions that would occur over the next 13 years, Reid, amidst the jeers of a
select few fans at the draft who had convinced themselves that Williams was
their savior, Reid chose Syracuse University quarterback Donovan McNabb. But should it really have been that much of a surprise that Reid,
who had previously won a Super Bowl and helped make the NFL playoffs an annual
tradition as an assistant and quarterback coach during a seven-year tenure in
Green Bay with the great Brett Favre, would spend what would likely be the most
important draft pick he ever made on a QB — especially when considering that at
the time the draft class was considered to be one of the most quarterback
friendly that the sport had ever seen? As the weeks, months and years passed
without just about every other quarterback taken before and after McNabb
experiencing any relative NFL success (save Daunte Culpepper, the No. 11
overall pick by Minnesota), Reid was hailed as a genius (at least by some).
While McNabb helped provide the Eagles and their fans renewed optimism in 1999, including
becoming the first Eagle rookie to win his first career start since 1974, Williams
wouldn’t prove to be any kind of blessing in New Orleans as he played in only
12 games and accumulated just two touchdowns on 884 yards for the 3-13 Saints,
who took Williams with the fifth overall pick after trading all six of their
draft picks to the Redskins in order to move up in the draft. As the full-time
starter the following year in Philadelphia, McNabb would begin to commandeer
the franchise’s most successful stint of the Super Bowl era (albeit without
actually winning a Super Bowl), winning 92 games (never fewer than eight in a
full season), leading his team to the playoffs five years in succession before
injuries limited him to partial seasons in 2005 and 2006, advancing to the NFC
conference championship game five times between 2001-08 (four straight at one
point, winning one) and nearly pulling off an upset of Tom Brady’s New England
Patriots in Super Bowl XXXIX.
Despite not winning the bowl, Reid and his Eagles
continued to be a dominant force in the NFL first and foremost because he
selected the best quarterback in his draft class and molded him into one of the
game’s best. McNabb was named to the pro bowl five straight seasons (2000-04) and six
overall; ranked third in NFL wins entering 2012 behind just Peyton Manning and
Tom Brady; and ranked fourth in the league in career completions, passing
yards, and touchdown passes at that same juncture behind (in no particular
order) Manning, Brady and Drew Brees.
Now more than a full year after McNabb has likely played his
last NFL game (despite, at age 38, being six years younger than Steve DeBerg
was when he set an NFL record by being the oldest quarterback to start a game
for the Atlanta Falcons in 1998) and three calendar years since he last played
in Philadelphia, I can’t help but still ask — just what in the hell was Andy
Reid thinking when he traded his franchise player that Easter evening in 2010
and leaving the fate of his team and his reputation in the hands of Kevin Kolb
and Michael Vick? If and when his reputation recovers, it won’t happen in
Philadelphia.
Sealing A Downward Spiral
Clearly, other factors contributed to the Birds’ fall from
the NFL’s elite aside from the McNabb trade, i.e. the resignation and death of
defensive coordinator Jim Johnson; lackluster drafts, particularly post-Super
Bowl, which have resulted in notable early-round busts such as (all in the
second round) wide receiver Reggie Brown and linebacker Matt McCoy (2005),
defensive end Victor Abiamiri (2007), defensive tackle Trevor Laws (2008), and
safties Nate Allen (2010) and Jaiquan Jarrett (2001). Then there’s Kolb
(another second round pick of 2007) and guard Danny Watkins, a 2011 first round
selection (23rd overall) who has struggled for playing time despite a decimated
offensive line — which certainly contributed to the Eagles struggles in 2012.
Be that as it may, no one transaction, whether it be the trading/release of
a player, coach or administrator (and there have been many significant moves
that many have been justifiably critical of over the years, but most notably
Brian Dawkins, Brian Westbrook, Jeremiah Trotter, Troy Vincent, Bobby Taylor, Brad
Childress, Tom Modrak and Tom Heckertt) has caused the same level of fallout as
the exit of McNabb. Even despite losing the late, great Johnson and the sure
Hall of Famer Dawkins after the 2008 season, the Eagles made the playoffs in
2009 and 2010. They have now made the postseason in four of seven seasons since
Childress’ departure to Minnesota, beating his Vikings in the first round of
2008. Though they’d later reconcile on their mistake to let the four-time Pro
Bowler Trotter leave for Washington, going to the Super Bowl after reuniting
with the linebacker in 2004, they still went to the playoffs throughout his
2-year hiatus, winning 12 games in both 2002 and 2003. Yet, without McNabb
they have been in a consistent, steady decline. Yes, they made the playoffs by
winning the East in 2010, but they were able to do so with one fewer win than
the year prior (for all those who have themselves convinced that the “down” NFC
East allowed the Eagles to win five championships during McNabb’s reign) and
have since won a total of just eight and four games in consecutive years. They
never went two straight seasons outside the playoff picture with McNabb on the
roster.
Justifying A
Potential Hall of Famer
I think it’s ridiculous to postulate that since McNabb
didn’t make the playoffs during his one year spent respectively in Washington
and Minnesota the Eagles were right to trade him. Statistically speaking he was
not too far off the path of the numbers he produced during his 11 years in Philadelphia,
numbers that will keep him in the Hall of Fame conversation when he officially
retires. In 2010 he led a Redskins team to as many wins as they had the year prior
(four) through eight games. After winning his debut game over a Dallas team
that many prognosticators had tagged for the Super Bowl in week one, McNabb had
DC slated for a 2-0 start in completing 28 of 38 passes for 426 yards and a
touchdown in Houston, but the meltdown of a defense that would become ranked
21st in points allowed on the season essentially begun after the half with the
‘Skins holding a 20-7 lead. Washington lost, 30-27 in overtime, but after
losing the following week to St. Louis (a game in which McNabb struggled),
important wins over the Eagles and eventual champion Green Bay followed. .In the
Packer game, McNabb would engineer a late drive that had Washington set up for
a game-winning field goal attempt as regulation expired, but Graham Gano missed
the 47-yarder before getting redemption in overtime.
A month later McNabb would produce his 26th and final (to date) game-winning
drive in a 19-16 overtime win at Tennessee. Of the 26 game-clinching drives he
orchestrated, 17 came via 4th-quarter comeback. That’s a lot more than the
“none” his detractors seem to think he had. In all, he’d collect more than 3,300
yards in 13 games in Washington that year, a pace at which was leading him to
have more yardage in a season than he ever had with the Eagles (3,916 in
2008—without Terrell Owens, mind you, who only played in one Super Bowl, the
same one McNabb did). He did throw more interceptions than touchdowns (by a
mere 1 at 15/14) for the only time in his career, but I don’t think that’s the
greatest crime for a QB playing in a new system. Had a botched snap not occurred
on a game-tying extra point attempt with nine seconds remaining in a week 13
game against Tampa Bay, an attempt that was preceded by McNabb igniting a
13-play, 75-yard drive to trim the lead to one, there may have been a better
outcome to that contest instead of a changing of the guard in DC. Instead,
McNabb was replaced by backup Rex Grossman, who would throw four interceptions
in the final three games, losing two of them.
For those who argue that
McNabb’s numbers took a nosedive after leaving Philly, that stance simply
doesn’t hold up. Even in Minnesota in 2011, where the sample size is relatively
small in terms of trying to compare to the rest of his career, his 60.3
completion percentage is identical to the number he posted in 2009. However, with
his mobility in clear decline (even his biggest proponents can’t deny that) the
Vikings eager to see what they had in 2011 first round draftee Christian Ponder
(which occurred prior to acquiring McNabb) after their 1-5 start. It was tough
to fault them; however I find it hypocritical that the 30th-ranked defense that
shared the field that year doesn’t harbor most of the blame around here,
considering all the credit some Eagles fans give to the Birds’ D in making the
Super Bowl run. On that note, it’s worth pointing out that Johnson’s best unit
wasn’t the 2004 team, but the 2001 team, when considering points scored
against. In the same vein, I find it
hardly coincidental that during McNabb’s injury-riddled years of 2005 and 2006,
Johnson’s defense posted its worst two consecutive seasons with rankings of
27th (his worst unit of all) and 15th, respectively. Imagine, a quarterback’s
and an offense’s success aiding a defense’s productivity.
It’s hard to fathom that I should still feel the need to
defend someone with the success McNabb had in this town, but I don’t think I’ve
ever seen a more scrutinized athlete in Philadelphia. Just don’t tell that to
Mike Schmidt or Ilya Bryzgalov.
Submitted by ASI Guest Blogger, Joseph Darrah
(c) 2013 Joseph Darrah All Rights Reserved
I couldn't agree with you more. My favorite stat is the 17 4th quarter comebacks that no one in Philly seems to remember. I guess he smiled too much for Philly?
ReplyDeleteYeah, when people have "too many smiles" as a complaint against someone, you know they're pulling at threads.
ReplyDelete